Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Crystal Palace meet Newcastle on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Selhurst Park (London), refereed by Paul Tierney. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Crystal Palace are 18th with 7 points after 9 matches (2W 1D 6L), whereas Newcastle are 13th with 11 points (3W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Crystal Palace have scored 1.3 and conceded 2.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Newcastle average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 2W 1D 4L, goals 9–17; Newcastle: 2W 2D 3L, goals 10–14.
- Head to head. In their 27 meetings so far, Crystal Palace have 6 wins, Newcastle have 12 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–36.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Newcastle are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 27; Crystal Palace 6 wins, 9 draws, Newcastle 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Crystal Palace 9–17, Newcastle 10–14.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Alternative tip: Crystal Palace or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Crystal Palace are missing: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle are without: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.53 | 2.62 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.51 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Crystal Palace 18th (7 points), Newcastle 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 2W 1D 4L (9:17), Newcastle 2W 2D 3L (10:14).
- H2H: 27 matches: Crystal Palace 6W 9D 12L, goals 22–36.
- Absences: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: who is missing
Crystal Palace
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- D. Hendersonfoot injury · doubtful
- J. Larseninjury · doubtful
- Q. Timberinjury · doubtful
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Elangaknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ramseythigh injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace
Home and away
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Crystal PalaceLLLWDNewcastleLWLLWCrystal Palace vs Newcastle: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our result tip is Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (odds 1.53), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Crystal Palace or draw (1X).
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our probabilities: Crystal Palace to win 37%, a draw 27%, Newcastle to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Selhurst Park, London. Referee: Paul Tierney.
Who will be missing?
Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.