Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Werder Bremen meet 1899 Hoffenheim on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at Weser-Stadion (Bremen), refereed by Tobias Reichel. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Werder Bremen are 5th with 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L), whereas 1899 Hoffenheim are 12th with 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Werder Bremen have scored 2.1 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; 1899 Hoffenheim average 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Werder Bremen: 3W 3D 1L, goals 15–14; 1899 Hoffenheim: 3W 0D 4L, goals 14–14.
- Head to head. In their 32 meetings so far, Werder Bremen have 11 wins, 1899 Hoffenheim have 12 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 50–56.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.96), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 32; Werder Bremen 11 wins, 9 draws, 1899 Hoffenheim 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Werder Bremen 15–14, 1899 Hoffenheim 14–14.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: Werder Bremen 8, 1899 Hoffenheim 6.
Alternative tip: Werder Bremen or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Werder Bremen or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.63). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Werder Bremen are missing: F. Agu, S. Alvero, P. Erevbenagie, S. Musah, M. N'Diaye, J. Stage, N. Stark, K. Topp. 1899 Hoffenheim are without: B. Conte, N. De Cat, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, A. Prass, P. Wimmer. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.51 | 4.26 | 2.95 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.90 | 2.71 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.37 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.00 | 31.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.96 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.0% |
| BTTS – no | 3.30 | 3.11 | 30.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Werder Bremen 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), 1899 Hoffenheim 12th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Werder Bremen 3W 3D 1L (15:14), 1899 Hoffenheim 3W 0D 4L (14:14).
- H2H: 32 matches: Werder Bremen 11W 9D 12L, goals 50–56.
- Absences: Werder Bremen 8, 1899 Hoffenheim 6.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: who is missing
Werder Bremen
- F. Agucalf injury · will miss the match
- S. Alverocalf injury · will miss the match
- P. Erevbenagieankle injury · will miss the match
- S. Musahmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. N'Diayegroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Stagemuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Starkmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Toppknee injury · will miss the match
1899 Hoffenheim
- B. Contegroin injury · will miss the match
- N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Gendreyankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
- A. Prassred card · will miss the match
- P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Werder Bremen
Home and away
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Werder Bremen +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 3.5 goals (1.96).
Who will win Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our probabilities: Werder Bremen to win 41%, a draw 24%, 1899 Hoffenheim to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at Weser-Stadion, Bremen. Referee: Tobias Reichel.
Who will be missing?
Werder Bremen: F. Agu, S. Alvero, P. Erevbenagie, S. Musah, M. N'Diaye, J. Stage, N. Stark, K. Topp. 1899 Hoffenheim: B. Conte, N. De Cat, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, A. Prass, P. Wimmer. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.42); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 70% probability (odds 1.36).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.0%); after that come 2–1 (8.4%) and 1–2 (7.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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