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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6 · 18 October 2026 · 16:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: tip, odds and prediction – 18 October 2026, Bundesliga

1Borussia Mönchengladbach3.20
XDraw4.21
21899 Hoffenheim2.15

Best available odds · Updated 18/10/26, 13:40

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Borussia Mönchengladbach are at home to 1899 Hoffenheim on 18 October 2026 · 16:30 at Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach), with Sören Storks as the referee. Our favourites are 1899 Hoffenheim (45%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: tip and prediction
Result
1899 Hoffenheim to win
2.15
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.98
45%chance of the result
50%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim (X2) – 69% probability, top odds 1.40.

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th with 4 points after 8 matches (1W 1D 6L), whereas 1899 Hoffenheim are 12th with 9 points (3W 0D 5L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98), and our probability for it is 50%. We estimate both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
  2. Absent: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best available odds 2.00). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach are missing: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.204.212.15
Market average3.074.022.11
Lowest odds3.003.802.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0886.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.361.3469.6%
Under 2.5 goals3.233.0730.4%
Over 3.5 goals1.981.9150.3%
BTTS – yes1.361.3370.0%
BTTS – no3.253.1030.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points), 1899 Hoffenheim 12th (9 points).
  • Absences: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 0.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Borussia Mönchengladbach31%
Draw24%
1899 Hoffenheim45%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals86.3% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.10
Likely
Both sides to score: yes70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Over 2.5 goals69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.36
Likely
Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim (X2)69.0% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 3.5 goals50.3% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.98
Possible
Under 3.5 goals49.7% · fair odds 2.01 · best 2.00
Outsider
1899 Hoffenheim to win45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
Outsider
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win31.0% · fair odds 3.22 · best 3.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.23
Outsider
Both sides to score: no30.0% · fair odds 3.33 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw23.7% · fair odds 4.21 · best 4.21
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.4%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.84 · Under 1.87
probability of over 50.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 19.0%
1 : 28.7%
2 : 17.2%
2 : 27.0%
1 : 35.7%
0 : 15.6%

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: who is missing

Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • No reported absences

1899 Hoffenheim

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

31 OctDBorussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
23 OctWVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
18 OctLBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
11 OctL1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
19 SeptLBorussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05

1899 Hoffenheim

31 OctLWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
25 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
15 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş

Home and away

Borussia Mönchengladbach at home4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 7–10
1899 Hoffenheim away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–9

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our result tip is 1899 Hoffenheim to win (odds 2.15), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.98). The safer pick is Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim (X2).

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our probabilities: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 31%, a draw 24%, 1899 Hoffenheim to win 45%.

What time and where is kick-off?

18 October 2026, kick-off at 16:30, at Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach. Referee: Sören Storks.

Who will be missing?

Borussia Mönchengladbach: no absences. 1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.36); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.23).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 70% probability (odds 1.36).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.0%); after that come 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (7.2%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.