Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim meet Lyon on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), refereed by Halil Umut Meler. 1899 Hoffenheim (49%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Lyon are 12th with 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, 1899 Hoffenheim have 1 win, Lyon have 0 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 10–7.
What to expect
1899 Hoffenheim should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; 1899 Hoffenheim 1 win, 3 draws, Lyon 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: 1899 Hoffenheim 0, Lyon 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 64%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
1899 Hoffenheim are missing: no absences. Lyon are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.03 | 4.20 | 3.73 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 4.02 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.69 | 3.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.47 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.65 | 35.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Lyon, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 23rd (3 points), Lyon 12th (6 points).
- H2H: 4 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 3D 0L, goals 10–7.
- Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 0, Lyon 0.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: who is missing
1899 Hoffenheim
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: questions and answers
What is the best tip for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Lyon +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.99); Both teams to score (1.47).
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our probabilities: 1899 Hoffenheim to win 49%, a draw 24%, Lyon to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Halil Umut Meler.
Who will be missing?
1899 Hoffenheim: no absences. Lyon: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.47).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (7.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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