Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Tottenham are at home to Crystal Palace on 31 October 2026 · 17:30 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London), with Michael Oliver as the referee. Our favourites are Tottenham (58%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Tottenham are 9th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Crystal Palace are 18th with 7 points (2W 1D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Tottenham have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Crystal Palace average 1.1 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Tottenham: 2W 3D 3L, goals 8–10; Crystal Palace: 2W 1D 5L, goals 9–19.
- Head to head. In their 29 meetings so far, Tottenham have 19 wins, Crystal Palace have 7 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 42–20.
What to expect
Tottenham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 29; Tottenham 19 wins, 3 draws, Crystal Palace 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Tottenham 8–10, Crystal Palace 9–19.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Tottenham 6, Crystal Palace 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Tottenham are missing: T. Adarabioyo, R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons. Crystal Palace are without: C. Riad, I. Sarr, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.72 | 4.50 | 5.60 |
| Market average | 1.64 | 4.08 | 5.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.47 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.69 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.18 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.10 | 44.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 17:22. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Tottenham 1–1 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Tottenham 9th (12 points), Crystal Palace 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Tottenham 2W 3D 3L (8:10), Crystal Palace 2W 1D 5L (9:19).
- H2H: 29 matches: Tottenham 19W 3D 7L, goals 42–20.
- Absences: Tottenham 6, Crystal Palace 5.
Who will win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: who is missing
Tottenham
- T. Adarabioyocalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Bentancurred card · will miss the match
- L. Bergvallknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Mudrykankle injury · will miss the match
- W. Odobertknee injury · will miss the match
- X. Simonsknee injury · will miss the match
Crystal Palace
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Sarrgroin injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- J. Larsenankle injury · doubtful
- Q. Timberhamstring injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Tottenham
Home and away
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
Our result tip is Tottenham to win (odds 1.72), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Tottenham or draw (1X).
Who will win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
Our probabilities: Tottenham to win 58%, a draw 23%, Crystal Palace to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Referee: Michael Oliver.
Who will be missing?
Tottenham: T. Adarabioyo, R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons. Crystal Palace: C. Riad, I. Sarr, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.73); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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