Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Brighton v Crystal Palace is on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at American Express Stadium (Falmer); Robert Jones takes charge. We think Brighton (66%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Brighton are 3rd with 19 points after 9 matches (6W 1D 2L), whereas Crystal Palace are 18th with 7 points (2W 1D 6L).
What to expect
Brighton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Brighton are missing: no absences. Crystal Palace are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.51 | 4.93 | 7.07 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.77 | 6.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.36 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Brighton 2–0 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Brighton 3rd (19 points), Crystal Palace 18th (7 points).
- Absences: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: who is missing
Brighton
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Brighton vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our result tip is Brighton to win (odds 1.51), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Brighton or draw (1X).
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our probabilities: Brighton to win 66%, a draw 20%, Crystal Palace to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at American Express Stadium, Falmer. Referee: Robert Jones.
Who will be missing?
Brighton: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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