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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7 · 25 October 2026 · 14:30

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: tip, odds and prediction – 25 October 2026, Bundesliga

11899 Hoffenheim3.28
XDraw4.42
2Bayer Leverkusen2.10

Best available odds · Updated 25/10/26, 13:38

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

1899 Hoffenheim meet Bayer Leverkusen on 25 October 2026 · 14:30 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), refereed by Daniel Siebert. Bayer Leverkusen (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: tip and prediction
Result
Bayer Leverkusen to win
2.10
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.86
47%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
1–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2) – 70% probability, top odds 1.40.

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1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.284.422.10
Market average3.134.152.05
Lowest odds3.003.902.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.091.0688.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.321.2973.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.603.5126.9%
Over 3.5 goals1.861.7654.1%
BTTS – yes1.301.2972.5%
BTTS – no3.503.3927.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 12th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 4L (11:14), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 1L (16:9).
  • H2H: 33 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 10W 6D 17L, goals 47–59.
  • Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1899 Hoffenheim30%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen47%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 2.5 goals73.1% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Both sides to score: yes72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.30
Likely
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2)69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 3.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.86
Possible
Bayer Leverkusen to win46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.15
Outsider
1899 Hoffenheim to win30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.28
Outsider
Both sides to score: no27.5% · fair odds 3.63 · best 3.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.60
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.42
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 28.4%
1 : 18.0%
2 : 27.1%
2 : 16.8%
1 : 35.9%
2 : 35.0%

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: who is missing

1899 Hoffenheim

  • N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
  • P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
  • B. Conteinjury · doubtful

Bayer Leverkusen

  • E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
  • K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
  • C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Culbreathfoot injury · doubtful

This list may be updated before kick-off.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

1899 Hoffenheim

31 OctLWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
25 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
15 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş

Bayer Leverkusen

31 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
25 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctWOFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
18 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWLech Poznań 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

Home and away

1899 Hoffenheim at home4 matches: 2W 0D 2L, goals 9–7
Bayer Leverkusen away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 8–11

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim are 12th with 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L), whereas Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 1.8 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Bayer Leverkusen average 2.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. 1899 Hoffenheim: 2W 0D 4L, goals 11–14; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 1L, goals 16–9.
  4. Head to head. In their 33 meetings so far, 1899 Hoffenheim have 10 wins, Bayer Leverkusen have 17 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 47–59.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–2 (8.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 33; 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, 6 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 11–14, Bayer Leverkusen 16–9.
  4. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
  5. Absent: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best available odds 2.15). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

1899 Hoffenheim are missing: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen are without: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: team stats compared

1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
32%Form68%
39%Attack61%
35%Defence65%
40%Head to head60%
38%Goals63%
36.5%Overall63.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

1899 HoffenheimLWWLL
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWW

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: head to head

All matches
101899 Hoffenheim
6Draws
17Bayer Leverkusen
25/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
17/1/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen
23/8/25 · Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
2/2/25 · Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim
14/9/24 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen
30/3/24 · Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: questions and answers

What is the best tip for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our result tip is Bayer Leverkusen to win (odds 2.10), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86). The safer pick is Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2).

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our probabilities: 1899 Hoffenheim to win 30%, a draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen to win 47%.

What time and where is kick-off?

25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:30, at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Daniel Siebert.

Who will be missing?

1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.32); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 72% probability (odds 1.30).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–2 (8.4%); after that come 1–1 (8.0%) and 2–2 (7.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.