Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese are at home to AC Milan on 25 October 2026 · 19:45 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine), with Matteo Marcenaro as the referee. Our favourites are AC Milan (53%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Udinese vs AC Milan: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Udinese are 19th with 5 points after 10 matches (1W 2D 7L), whereas AC Milan are 5th with 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Udinese have scored 1.3 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; AC Milan average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Udinese: 1W 1D 5L, goals 9–16; AC Milan: 4W 3D 0L, goals 14–7.
- Head to head. In their 33 meetings so far, Udinese have 9 wins, AC Milan have 15 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 39–50.
What to expect
AC Milan should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 33; Udinese 9 wins, 9 draws, AC Milan 15 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Udinese 9–16, AC Milan 14–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Udinese are missing: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. AC Milan are without: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Udinese vs AC Milan: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.95 | 3.84 | 1.86 |
| Market average | 4.55 | 3.65 | 1.80 |
| Lowest odds | 4.28 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Udinese 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 19th (5 points), AC Milan 5th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Udinese 1W 1D 5L (9:16), AC Milan 4W 3D 0L (14:7).
- H2H: 33 matches: Udinese 9W 9D 15L, goals 39–50.
- Absences: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Udinese vs AC Milan: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Udinese vs AC Milan: who is missing
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · doubtful
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Gilaankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Moreirathigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Rabiotcalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Udinese vs AC Milan: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Udinese
Home and away
Udinese vs AC Milan: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
UdineseLDLLLAC MilanWLWWDUdinese vs AC Milan: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Udinese vs AC Milan: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Udinese vs AC Milan?
Our result tip is AC Milan to win (odds 1.86), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or AC Milan (X2).
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
Our probabilities: Udinese to win 21%, a draw 26%, AC Milan to win 53%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Matteo Marcenaro.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.93); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 0–1 (11.4%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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