Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cagliari are at home to Bologna on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Unipol Domus (Cagliari), with Kevin Bonacina, Italy as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Cagliari vs Bologna: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 67.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.28 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.22 | 22.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cagliari 1–1 Bologna, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cagliari 12th (13 points), Bologna 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Cagliari 4W 1D 2L (6:7), Bologna 1W 2D 4L (6:10).
- H2H: 28 matches: Cagliari 7W 7D 14L, goals 24–38.
- Absences: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cagliari vs Bologna: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cagliari vs Bologna: who is missing
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Trepyinjury · will miss the match
Bologna
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Orsolinithigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cagliari vs Bologna: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Cagliari
Home and away
Cagliari vs Bologna: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cagliari are 12th with 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), whereas Bologna are 9th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Cagliari have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Bologna average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cagliari: 4W 1D 2L, goals 6–7; Bologna: 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. In their 28 meetings so far, Cagliari have 7 wins, Bologna have 14 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–38.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.68), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 28; Cagliari 7 wins, 7 draws, Bologna 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Cagliari 6–7, Bologna 6–10.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 42%.
- Absent: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cagliari are missing: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Bologna are without: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cagliari vs Bologna: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CagliariLLLLDBolognaWWWLWCagliari vs Bologna: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Cagliari vs Bologna: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cagliari vs Bologna?
Our result tip is Draw or Bologna (X2) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.68). The safer pick is Draw or Bologna (X2).
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
Our probabilities: Cagliari to win 33%, a draw 32%, Bologna to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Unipol Domus, Cagliari. Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 42% (odds 2.39); under 2.5 goals is at 58% (odds 1.68).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.3%); after that come 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (11.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.