Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Crewe v Barnet is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Alexandra Stadium (Crewe); H. Blair takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Crewe vs Barnet: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Crewe are 4th with 22 points after 14 matches (5W 7D 2L), whereas Barnet are 2nd with 26 points (7W 5D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Crewe have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Barnet average 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Crewe: 5W 6D 2L, goals 16–16; Barnet: 7W 4D 1L, goals 27–17.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Crewe have 3 wins, Barnet have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–10.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Crewe 3 wins, 3 draws, Barnet 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Crewe 16–16, Barnet 27–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Crewe 0, Barnet 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Crewe are missing: no absences. Barnet are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Crewe vs Barnet: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.23 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 3.58 | 2.18 |
| Lowest odds | 2.66 | 3.21 | 2.06 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.16 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.26 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.53 | 2.45 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Crewe 1–1 Barnet, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Crewe 4th (22 points), Barnet 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Crewe 5W 6D 2L (16:16), Barnet 7W 4D 1L (27:17).
- H2H: 9 matches: Crewe 3W 3D 3L, goals 12–10.
- Absences: Crewe 0, Barnet 0.
Who will win Crewe vs Barnet?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Crewe vs Barnet: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Crewe vs Barnet: who is missing
Crewe
- No reported absences
Barnet
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Crewe vs Barnet: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Crewe
Home and away
Crewe vs Barnet: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CreweDLLWWBarnetDWDLWCrewe vs Barnet: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Crewe vs Barnet: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Crewe vs Barnet?
Crewe +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Crewe vs Barnet?
Our probabilities: Crewe to win 32%, a draw 26%, Barnet to win 43%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe. Referee: H. Blair.
Who will be missing?
Crewe: no absences. Barnet: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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