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League Two · Matchweek 13 · 24 October 2026 · 12:30

Northampton vs Colchester: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, League Two

2–0
1Northampton2.10
XDraw3.30
2Colchester3.84

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 10:04

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Northampton meet Colchester on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), refereed by S. Jackson. Northampton (46%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Northampton vs Colchester: tip and prediction
Result
Northampton to win
2.10
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.70
46%chance of the result
56%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Northampton or draw (1X) – 75% probability, top odds 1.32.

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Northampton vs Colchester: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.103.303.84
Market average2.033.253.70
Lowest odds1.993.203.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.391.3668.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.172.1443.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.701.6756.2%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.8424.2%
BTTS – yes1.911.8949.2%
BTTS – no1.901.8350.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 10:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Colchester, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Northampton 20th (14 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Northampton 8W 0D 2L, goals 17–11.
  • Absences: Northampton 0, Colchester 0.

Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?

Northampton46%
Draw29%
Colchester25%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Northampton vs Colchester: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.26
Likely
Northampton or draw (1X)74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.3% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 2.5 goals56.2% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: no50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.90
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.91
Outsider
Northampton to win46.0% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals43.8% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.17
Outsider
Draw28.7% · fair odds 3.48 · best 3.30
Outsider
Colchester to win25.3% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.84
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.2% · fair odds 4.14 · best 4.10
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.7%
1 : 012.7%
0 : 19.1%
0 : 09.1%
2 : 18.9%
2 : 08.9%

Northampton vs Colchester: who is missing

Northampton

  • No reported absences

Colchester

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Northampton vs Colchester: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Northampton

31 OctDAccrington ST 1–1 Northampton
24 OctWNorthampton 2–0 Colchester
20 OctLNorthampton 0–1 Tranmere
17 OctWGrimsby 0–2 Northampton
10 OctDYork 1–1 Northampton

Colchester

31 OctLColchester 1–3 Walsall
24 OctLNorthampton 2–0 Colchester
20 OctDChesterfield 1–1 Colchester
17 OctDColchester 0–0 Exeter City
10 OctLNewport County 1–0 Colchester

Home and away

Northampton at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 4–3
Colchester away7 matches: 0W 3D 4L, goals 6–13

Northampton vs Colchester: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Northampton are 20th with 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L), whereas Colchester are 23rd with 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
  2. Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Northampton have 8 wins, Colchester have 2 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–11.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 10; Northampton 8 wins, 0 draws, Colchester 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
  4. Absent: Northampton 0, Colchester 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.90). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Northampton are missing: no absences. Colchester are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Northampton vs Colchester: head to head

All matches
8Northampton
0Draws
2Colchester
24/10/26 · Northampton 2–0 Colchester
25/2/23 · Colchester 0–1 Northampton
30/7/22 · Northampton 3–2 Colchester
19/2/22 · Northampton 3–0 Colchester
14/8/21 · Colchester 0–1 Northampton
24/8/19 · Colchester 1–0 Northampton

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Northampton vs Colchester: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Northampton vs Colchester?

Our result tip is Northampton to win (odds 2.10), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Northampton or draw (1X).

Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?

Our probabilities: Northampton to win 46%, a draw 29%, Colchester to win 25%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: S. Jackson.

Who will be missing?

Northampton: no absences. Colchester: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.17); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.70).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.91).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.