Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Northampton are at home to Tranmere on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), with A. Jackson as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Northampton vs Tranmere: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Northampton are 20th with 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L), whereas Tranmere are 11th with 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Tranmere are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Northampton are missing: no absences. Tranmere are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Northampton vs Tranmere: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.27 |
| Market average | 2.25 | 3.22 | 3.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.14 | 3.04 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 68.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.70 | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.92 | 3.71 | 25.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.90 | 49.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Tranmere, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Northampton 20th (14 points), Tranmere 11th (19 points).
- Absences: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Northampton vs Tranmere: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Northampton vs Tranmere: who is missing
Northampton
- No reported absences
Tranmere
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Northampton vs Tranmere: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Northampton vs Tranmere: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Northampton vs Tranmere?
Draw or Tranmere (X2) (1.65); Under 2.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?
Our probabilities: Northampton to win 41%, a draw 29%, Tranmere to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: A. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Northampton: no absences. Tranmere: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.18); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.73).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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