Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Racing Santander v Espanyol is on 24 October 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander); Jesús Gil Manzano, Spain takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Racing Santander are 16th with 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), whereas Espanyol are 14th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Racing Santander have scored 1.4 and conceded 2.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Espanyol average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 2W 2D 5L, goals 13–25; Espanyol: 2W 2D 5L, goals 11–12.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Racing Santander have 3 wins, Espanyol have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–8.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Racing Santander 3 wins, 1 draw, Espanyol 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Racing Santander 13–25, Espanyol 11–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Racing Santander 1, Espanyol 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Racing Santander are missing: S. Eriksson. Espanyol are without: K. Garcia, Jofre. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.37 | 3.75 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.63 | 2.98 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.64 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.29 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.53 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.44 | 38.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Racing Santander 1–1 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Espanyol 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Racing Santander 2W 2D 5L (13:25), Espanyol 2W 2D 5L (11:12).
- H2H: 7 matches: Racing Santander 3W 1D 3L, goals 7–8.
- Absences: Racing Santander 1, Espanyol 2.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: who is missing
Racing Santander
- S. Erikssonshoulder injury · will miss the match
Espanyol
- K. Garciahamstring injury · will miss the match
- Jofregroin injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Racing Santander
Home and away
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Racing SantanderLWLDLEspanyolWLLDLRacing Santander vs Espanyol: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Our result tip is Racing Santander or draw (1X) (odds 1.43), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56). The safer pick is Racing Santander or draw (1X).
Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Our probabilities: Racing Santander to win 42%, a draw 26%, Espanyol to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: Jesús Gil Manzano, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Racing Santander: S. Eriksson. Espanyol: K. Garcia, Jofre. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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