Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Espanyol v Atlético Madrid is on 17 October 2026 · 13:00 at RCDE Stadium (Cornellà); Alejandro Hernández, Spain takes charge. We think Atlético Madrid (56%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.17 | 4.12 | 1.75 |
| Market average | 4.87 | 4.01 | 1.70 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.22 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.72 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.67 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 10:17. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Espanyol 1–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Espanyol 14th (11 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Absences: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: who is missing
Espanyol
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Espanyol
Home and away
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Espanyol are 14th with 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), whereas Atlético Madrid are 2nd with 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
What to expect
Atlético Madrid should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Espanyol 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, best available odds 1.79). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Espanyol are missing: no absences. Atlético Madrid are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Our result tip is Atlético Madrid to win (odds 1.75), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Atlético Madrid (X2).
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Our probabilities: Espanyol to win 20%, a draw 24%, Atlético Madrid to win 56%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at RCDE Stadium, Cornellà. Referee: Alejandro Hernández, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Espanyol: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.23).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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