Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Elche v Valencia is on 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche); Luis Bestard Servera takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Elche vs Valencia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Elche are 17th with 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), whereas Valencia are 19th with 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Elche have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Valencia average 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Elche: 2W 4D 4L, goals 14–17; Valencia: 1W 3D 6L, goals 7–17.
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Elche have 3 wins, Valencia have 7 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–20.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Elche 3 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Elche 14–17, Valencia 7–17.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Elche are missing: M. Aguado. Valencia are without: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Elche vs Valencia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.45 | 3.40 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.09 | 2.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.87 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 17:06. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Elche 1–1 Valencia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Elche 17th (10 points), Valencia 19th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Elche 2W 4D 4L (14:17), Valencia 1W 3D 6L (7:17).
- H2H: 12 matches: Elche 3W 2D 7L, goals 11–20.
- Absences: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Elche vs Valencia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Elche vs Valencia: who is missing
Elche
- M. Aguadoankle injury · will miss the match
Valencia
- S. Canosknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Copeteabsence · will miss the match
- H. Elliottred card · will miss the match
- D. Lopezknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Otorbihamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. van Oevelenknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Elche vs Valencia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Elche
Home and away
Elche vs Valencia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ElcheLWDDWValenciaWLDDLElche vs Valencia: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Elche vs Valencia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Elche vs Valencia?
Elche +0 (Asian handicap) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
Our probabilities: Elche to win 41%, a draw 29%, Valencia to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche. Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.
Who will be missing?
Elche: M. Aguado. Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.06); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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