Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Como are at home to Venezia on 1 November 2026 · 11:30 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), with Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi as the referee. Our favourites are Como (72%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Como vs Venezia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Como are 4th with 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L), whereas Venezia are 20th with 3 points (1W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Como have scored 1.9 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Venezia average 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Como: 6W 2D 1L, goals 17–8; Venezia: 1W 0D 8L, goals 6–19.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Como have 3 wins, Venezia have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–10.
What to expect
Como should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Como 3 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Como 17–8, Venezia 6–19.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Absent: Como 5, Venezia 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Como are missing: A. Diao, M. Kean, J. Rodriguez, T. Chalobah, M. Liberali. Venezia are without: A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Correia, T. J. Helgason, P. Mazzocchi. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Como vs Venezia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.35 | 6.12 | 9.50 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.79 | 8.50 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 5.13 | 6.86 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.38 | 67.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.94 | 32.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.01 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 06:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Como 2–0 Venezia, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Venezia 20th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Como 6W 2D 1L (17:8), Venezia 1W 0D 8L (6:19).
- H2H: 7 matches: Como 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Como 5, Venezia 6.
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Como vs Venezia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Como vs Venezia: who is missing
Como
- A. Diaothigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Keanabsence · will miss the match
- J. Rodriguezinjury · will miss the match
- T. Chalobahinjury · doubtful
- M. Liberalicalf injury · doubtful
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · doubtful
- T. J. Helgasoninjury · doubtful
- P. Mazzocchiinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Como vs Venezia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Como vs Venezia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ComoWWWWDVeneziaLLLWLComo vs Venezia: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Como vs Venezia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Como vs Venezia?
Como -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
Our probabilities: Como to win 72%, a draw 16%, Venezia to win 11%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 11:30, at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.
Who will be missing?
Como: A. Diao, M. Kean, J. Rodriguez, T. Chalobah, M. Liberali. Venezia: A. Adorante, B. Franjic, M. Sverko, T. Correia, T. J. Helgason, P. Mazzocchi. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 68% (odds 1.41); under 2.5 goals is at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (9.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 3–0 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.