Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain is on 17 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg); Willy Delajod, France takes charge. We think Paris Saint Germain (68%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points after 9 matches (3W 1D 5L), whereas Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
What to expect
Paris Saint Germain should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Absent: Strasbourg 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Strasbourg are missing: no absences. Paris Saint Germain are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 7.06 | 5.53 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 6.62 | 5.38 | 1.41 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.31 | 3.17 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 50.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.49 | 37.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:36. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Strasbourg 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Strasbourg 13th (10 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Absences: Strasbourg 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: who is missing
Strasbourg
- No reported absences
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
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Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our result tip is Paris Saint Germain to win (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2).
Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our probabilities: Strasbourg to win 14%, a draw 18%, Paris Saint Germain to win 68%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Willy Delajod, France.
Who will be missing?
Strasbourg: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.36); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.4%); after that come 0–2 (8.5%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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