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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 17 October 2026 · 16:15

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Ligue 1

1Strasbourg7.06
XDraw5.53
2Paris Saint Germain1.44

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 13:36

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain is on 17 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg); Willy Delajod, France takes charge. We think Paris Saint Germain (68%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: tip and prediction
Result
Paris Saint Germain to win
1.44
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
Combo
Paris Saint Germain plus over 2.5 goals
1.90
52% · combo fair price
68%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2) – 86% probability, top odds 1.13.

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Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points after 9 matches (3W 1D 5L), whereas Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 20 points (6W 2D 1L).

What to expect

Paris Saint Germain should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
  2. Absent: Strasbourg 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Strasbourg are missing: no absences. Paris Saint Germain are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds7.065.531.44
Market average6.625.381.41
Lowest odds6.005.001.36
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0687.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.361.3370.3%
Under 2.5 goals3.313.1729.7%
Over 3.5 goals1.931.8950.7%
BTTS – yes1.531.4962.6%
BTTS – no2.602.4937.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:36. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Strasbourg 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Strasbourg 13th (10 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
  • Absences: Strasbourg 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.

Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?

Strasbourg14%
Draw18%
Paris Saint Germain68%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals87.1% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.10
Likely
Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2)85.5% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 2.5 goals70.3% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Paris Saint Germain to win67.8% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes62.6% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 3.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.93
Possible
Under 3.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 2.01
Outsider
Both sides to score: no37.4% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.60
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals29.7% · fair odds 3.37 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw17.8% · fair odds 5.63 · best 5.53
Outsider
Strasbourg to win14.5% · fair odds 6.92 · best 7.06
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.06 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.9%
Cardsline 2.5 cards
Over 1.74 · Under 2.03
probability of over 53.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.4%
0 : 28.5%
1 : 37.8%
1 : 17.5%
0 : 37.1%
0 : 16.8%

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: who is missing

Strasbourg

  • No reported absences

Paris Saint Germain

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Strasbourg

1 NovWStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctLRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
17 OctLStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
11 OctLNice 2–1 Strasbourg
19 SeptLParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Paris Saint Germain

30 OctWLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
26 OctWParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
20 OctWParis Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona
17 OctWStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
14 OctWManchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain

Home and away

Strasbourg at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 9–6
Paris Saint Germain away6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 15–7

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our result tip is Paris Saint Germain to win (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2).

Who will win Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our probabilities: Strasbourg to win 14%, a draw 18%, Paris Saint Germain to win 68%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Willy Delajod, France.

Who will be missing?

Strasbourg: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.36); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.31).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.53).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.4%); after that come 0–2 (8.5%) and 1–3 (7.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.