Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lyon are at home to Nice on 18 October 2026 · 19:45 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon), with François Letexier, France as the referee. Our favourites are Lyon (52%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Lyon vs Nice: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.86 | 4.00 | 4.44 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.89 | 4.20 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.19 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lyon 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lyon 3rd (17 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
- Absences: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lyon vs Nice: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Lyon vs Nice: who is missing
Lyon
- No reported absences
Nice
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lyon vs Nice: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lyon
Home and away
Lyon vs Nice: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lyon are 3rd with 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), whereas Nice are 8th with 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
What to expect
Lyon should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lyon are missing: no absences. Nice are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Lyon vs Nice: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lyon vs Nice?
Our result tip is Lyon to win (odds 1.86), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Lyon or draw (1X).
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
Our probabilities: Lyon to win 52%, a draw 25%, Nice to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon. Referee: François Letexier, France.
Who will be missing?
Lyon: no absences. Nice: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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