Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lorient meet Stade Brestois 29 on 2 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient), refereed by Jeremie Pignard. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lorient are 11th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Stade Brestois 29 are 10th with 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Lorient have scored 0.9 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Stade Brestois 29 average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lorient: 3W 3D 2L, goals 7–6; Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 3L, goals 14–12.
- Head to head. In their 27 meetings so far, Lorient have 11 wins, Stade Brestois 29 have 11 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 39–40.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 27; Lorient 11 wins, 5 draws, Stade Brestois 29 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Lorient 7–6, Stade Brestois 29 14–12.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
- Absent: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lorient are missing: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Stade Brestois 29 are without: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.62 | 3.24 | 3.08 |
| Market average | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.18 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.93 | 23.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 11th (12 points), Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Lorient 3W 3D 2L (7:6), Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 3L (14:12).
- H2H: 27 matches: Lorient 11W 5D 11L, goals 39–40.
- Absences: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: who is missing
Lorient
- B. Fadigamuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Katserismuscle injury · will miss the match
Stade Brestois 29
- B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
- G. Versiniabsence · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
Home and away
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LorientLDWWLStade Brestois 29WLDWLLorient vs Stade Brestois 29: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our result tip is Lorient or draw (1X) (odds 1.43), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Lorient or draw (1X).
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our probabilities: Lorient to win 37%, a draw 30%, Stade Brestois 29 to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
2 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: Jeremie Pignard.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.26); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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