Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stade Brestois 29 are at home to Nice on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest), with G. Paradis as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.41 | 3.70 | 3.37 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.48 | 3.06 |
| Lowest odds | 2.22 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.67 | 35.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.34 | 39.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Stade Brestois 29 10th (12 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 2L (13:10), Nice 2W 2D 3L (6:9).
- H2H: 22 matches: Stade Brestois 29 4W 8D 10L, goals 21–34.
- Absences: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: who is missing
Stade Brestois 29
- B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
- G. Versiniabsence · doubtful
Nice
- A. Abdimuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Stade Brestois 29
Home and away
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Stade Brestois 29 are 10th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Nice are 8th with 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Stade Brestois 29 have scored 1.9 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Nice average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 2L, goals 13–10; Nice: 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–9.
- Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Stade Brestois 29 have 4 wins, Nice have 10 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 21–34.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 22; Stade Brestois 29 4 wins, 8 draws, Nice 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Stade Brestois 29 13–10, Nice 6–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Stade Brestois 29 are missing: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice are without: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Stade Brestois 29WLDWLNiceWWLWWStade Brestois 29 vs Nice: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
Our result tip is Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X).
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
Our probabilities: Stade Brestois 29 to win 41%, a draw 27%, Nice to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Referee: G. Paradis.
Who will be missing?
Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.76); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.23).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.5%); after that come 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.