Bet with MINO CASINO →Sporting CP v Moreirense is on 7 November 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon). We think Sporting CP (81%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd with 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L), whereas Moreirense are 9th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Sporting CP have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Moreirense average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sporting CP: 6W 3D 1L, goals 23–11; Moreirense: 4W 2D 4L, goals 13–17.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, Sporting CP have 18 wins, Moreirense have 1 win and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 49–17.
What to expect
Sporting CP should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.17, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: No to both teams scoring (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; Sporting CP 18 wins, 5 draws, Moreirense 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sporting CP 23–11, Moreirense 13–17.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Sporting CP 0, Moreirense 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sporting CP are missing: no absences. Moreirense are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.17 | 9.30 | 18.00 |
| Market average | 1.15 | 7.71 | 14.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 5.99 | 10.12 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.77 | 33.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.15 | 2.09 | 44.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–0 Moreirense, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting CP 3rd (21 points), Moreirense 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Sporting CP 6W 3D 1L (23:11), Moreirense 4W 2D 4L (13:17).
- H2H: 24 matches: Sporting CP 18W 5D 1L, goals 49–17.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Moreirense 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: who is missing
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Moreirense
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Sporting CP
Home and away
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sporting CPWLWDDMoreirenseWWLDWSporting CP vs Moreirense: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sporting CP -2 (Asian handicap) (1.85); No to both teams scoring (1.70).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Our probabilities: Sporting CP to win 81%, a draw 12%, Moreirense to win 7%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 20:30, at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Moreirense: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 44% probability (odds 2.15).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.6%); after that come 3–0 (11.6%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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