Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sporting CP v Lask Linz is on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon); Nick Walsh takes charge. We think Sporting CP (71%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sporting CP are 12th with 6 points after 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), whereas Lask Linz are 24th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Sporting CP have 1 win, Lask Linz have 3 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–11.
What to expect
Sporting CP should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Sporting CP 1 win, 0 draws, Lask Linz 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Absent: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sporting CP are missing: no absences. Lask Linz are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.37 | 6.00 | 8.76 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.61 | 8.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.32 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.59 | 3.41 | 27.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.80 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting CP 12th (6 points), Lask Linz 24th (3 points).
- H2H: 4 matches: Sporting CP 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: who is missing
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Lask Linz
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
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Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Our result tip is Sporting CP to win (odds 1.37), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Sporting CP or draw (1X).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
Our probabilities: Sporting CP to win 71%, a draw 17%, Lask Linz to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: Nick Walsh.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.33); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.59).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.1%); after that come 2–0 (8.7%) and 3–1 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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