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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 15:30

Estoril vs Marítimo: tip, odds and prediction – 8 November 2026, Primeira Liga

LLLLL
VS
1Estoril2.14
XDraw3.58
2Marítimo3.52

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:45

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Estoril meet Marítimo on 8 November 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril). Estoril (45%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Estoril vs Marítimo: tip and prediction
Result
Estoril to win
2.14
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
45%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Estoril or draw (1X) – 72% probability, top odds 1.33.

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Estoril vs Marítimo: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.143.583.52
Market average2.063.423.37
Lowest odds1.943.143.17
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2773.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.8950.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.9049.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.1529.7%
BTTS – yes1.751.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.052.0445.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Estoril 1–1 Marítimo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Estoril 18th (2 points), Marítimo 14th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: Estoril 0W 2D 8L (5:19), Marítimo 2W 2D 6L (9:21).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Estoril 7W 7D 3L, goals 22–14.
  • Absences: Estoril 0, Marítimo 0.

Who will win Estoril vs Marítimo?

Estoril45%
Draw27%
Marítimo28%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Estoril vs Marítimo: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals73.6% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.31
Likely
Estoril or draw (1X)72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.3% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Both sides to score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.1% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.95
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.9% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.96
Outsider
Both sides to score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.05
Outsider
Estoril to win45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.14
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.7% · fair odds 3.36 · best 3.25
Outsider
Marítimo to win27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.52
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.58
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.2%
1 : 010.6%
2 : 19.1%
0 : 18.1%
2 : 07.9%
0 : 07.1%

Estoril vs Marítimo: who is missing

Estoril

  • No reported absences

Marítimo

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Estoril vs Marítimo: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica108-1-127:825
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente104-3-38:715
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca103-2-513:1411
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC102-3-510:109
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

Estoril

31 OctLFC Porto 4–0 Estoril
25 OctLEstoril 1–3 Moreirense
10 OctLAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Estoril
20 SeptLEstoril 1–2 Casa Pia
14 SeptLSC Braga 1–0 Estoril

Marítimo

1 NovLMarítimo 0–2 Santa Clara
23 OctLVitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
10 OctLMarítimo 1–2 FC Porto
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
14 SeptLMoreirense 3–1 Marítimo

Home and away

Estoril at home5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 3–8
Marítimo away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–12

Estoril vs Marítimo: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Estoril are 18th with 2 points after 10 matches (0W 2D 8L), whereas Marítimo are 14th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Estoril have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Marítimo average 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Estoril: 0W 2D 8L, goals 5–19; Marítimo: 2W 2D 6L, goals 9–21.
  4. Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Estoril have 7 wins, Marítimo have 3 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–14.

What to expect

Estoril should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the Marítimo are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 17; Estoril 7 wins, 7 draws, Marítimo 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Estoril 5–19, Marítimo 9–21.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
  5. Absent: Estoril 0, Marítimo 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Estoril are missing: no absences. Marítimo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Estoril vs Marítimo: team stats compared

EstorilMarítimo
0%Form100%
50%Attack50%
52%Defence48%
71%Head to head29%
67%Goals33%
57.8%Overall42.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

EstorilLLLLL
MarítimoLLLDL

Estoril vs Marítimo: head to head

All matches
7Estoril
7Draws
3Marítimo
27/5/23 · Estoril 3–1 Marítimo
22/1/23 · Marítimo 1–0 Estoril
5/2/22 · Marítimo 0–0 Estoril
27/8/21 · Estoril 2–1 Marítimo
27/1/21 · Marítimo 1–3 Estoril
7/4/18 · Estoril 1–1 Marítimo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Estoril vs Marítimo: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Estoril vs Marítimo?

Our result tip is Estoril to win (odds 2.14), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Estoril or draw (1X).

Who will win Estoril vs Marítimo?

Our probabilities: Estoril to win 45%, a draw 27%, Marítimo to win 28%.

What time and where is kick-off?

8 November 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril.

Who will be missing?

Estoril: no absences. Marítimo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 1–0 (10.6%) and 2–1 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Famalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovAlverca vs Casa Pia 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.