Bet with MINO CASINO →Santa Clara are at home to GIL Vicente on 8 November 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L), whereas GIL Vicente are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Santa Clara have scored 1.5 and conceded 0.6 goals per game on average in this competition; GIL Vicente average 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Santa Clara: 6W 3D 1L, goals 15–6; GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 3L, goals 8–7.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Santa Clara have 9 wins, GIL Vicente have 6 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–17.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–0 (13.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Santa Clara 9 wins, 3 draws, GIL Vicente 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Santa Clara 15–6, GIL Vicente 8–7.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 37%.
- Absent: Santa Clara 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 1.5 goals (probability 63%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Santa Clara are missing: no absences. GIL Vicente are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.27 | 3.24 | 3.56 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.06 | 3.48 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.51 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.51 | 62.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.00 | 4.88 | 19.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.09 | 44.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Santa Clara 4th (21 points), GIL Vicente 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Santa Clara 6W 3D 1L (15:6), GIL Vicente 4W 2D 3L (8:7).
- H2H: 18 matches: Santa Clara 9W 3D 6L, goals 20–17.
- Absences: Santa Clara 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: who is missing
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Santa Clara
Home and away
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Santa ClaraWLWDWGIL VicenteDLWWDSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
Our result tip is Santa Clara or draw (1X) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Santa Clara or draw (1X).
Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
Our probabilities: Santa Clara to win 42%, a draw 31%, GIL Vicente to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada.
Who will be missing?
Santa Clara: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 37% (odds 2.57); under 2.5 goals is at 63% (odds 1.53).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 44% probability (odds 2.10).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (13.9%); after that come 1–1 (13.2%) and 0–0 (11.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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