Bet with MINO CASINO →Famalicão meet Arouca on 6 November 2026 · 20:45 at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão (Vila Nova de Famalicão). Famalicão (46%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Famalicão vs Arouca: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.11 | 3.54 | 3.64 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.47 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.04 | 3.12 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.32 | 3.27 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.02 | 1.99 | 46.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Famalicão 1–1 Arouca, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Famalicão 11th (10 points), Arouca 5th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Famalicão 2W 4D 4L (14:14), Arouca 6W 2D 2L (13:7).
- H2H: 15 matches: Famalicão 5W 4D 6L, goals 14–15.
- Absences: Famalicão 0, Arouca 0.
Who will win Famalicão vs Arouca?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Famalicão vs Arouca: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Famalicão vs Arouca: who is missing
Famalicão
- No reported absences
Arouca
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Famalicão vs Arouca: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Famalicão
Home and away
Famalicão vs Arouca: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Famalicão are 11th with 10 points after 10 matches (2W 4D 4L), whereas Arouca are 5th with 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Famalicão have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Arouca average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Famalicão: 2W 4D 4L, goals 14–14; Arouca: 6W 2D 2L, goals 13–7.
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Famalicão have 5 wins, Arouca have 6 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–15.
What to expect
Famalicão should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Arouca are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Famalicão 5 wins, 4 draws, Arouca 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Famalicão 14–14, Arouca 13–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Famalicão 0, Arouca 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Famalicão are missing: no absences. Arouca are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Famalicão vs Arouca: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FamalicãoLWLWDAroucaWWWDLFamalicão vs Arouca: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Famalicão vs Arouca: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Famalicão vs Arouca?
Our result tip is Famalicão to win (odds 2.11), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Famalicão or draw (1X).
Who will win Famalicão vs Arouca?
Our probabilities: Famalicão to win 46%, a draw 27%, Arouca to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 20:45, at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicão.
Who will be missing?
Famalicão: no absences. Arouca: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.98); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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