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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11 · 7 November 2026 · 15:30

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Primeira Liga

1Nacional3.06
XDraw3.50
2Académico Viseu2.46

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:30

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Nacional meet Académico Viseu on 7 November 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio da Madeira (Funchal). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Académico Viseu (X2)
1.42
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
68%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Nacional vs Académico Viseu: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.063.502.46
Market average2.903.302.36
Lowest odds2.683.042.23
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2872.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.971.9249.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.8850.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.303.2229.0%
BTTS – yes1.701.7054.6%
BTTS – no2.072.0445.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Nacional 1–1 Académico Viseu, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Nacional 15th (7 points), Académico Viseu 6th (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Nacional 2W 1D 7L (10:19), Académico Viseu 6W 2D 2L (15:12).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Nacional 3W 5D 1L, goals 16–11.
  • Absences: Nacional 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Who will win Nacional vs Académico Viseu?

Nacional32%
Draw28%
Académico Viseu39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals72.8% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.0% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.35
Likely
Draw or Académico Viseu (X2)67.8% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Both sides to score: yes54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.95
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.97
Outsider
Both sides to score: no45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.07
Outsider
Académico Viseu to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.46
Outsider
Nacional to win32.2% · fair odds 3.10 · best 3.06
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.0% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.30
Outsider
Draw28.3% · fair odds 3.54 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
0 : 19.9%
1 : 08.8%
1 : 28.7%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 07.1%

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: who is missing

Nacional

  • No reported absences

Académico Viseu

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica108-1-127:825
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente104-3-38:715
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca103-2-513:1411
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC102-3-510:109
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

Nacional

1 NovLArouca 1–0 Nacional
25 OctWNacional 1–0 SC Braga
11 OctLRio Ave 3–2 Nacional
19 SeptLNacional 0–4 Famalicão
12 SeptLNacional 1–3 Alverca

Académico Viseu

1 NovWAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Rio Ave
25 OctWSporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
10 OctWAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Estoril
20 SeptWEstrela 0–2 Académico Viseu
12 SeptWAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Home and away

Nacional at home5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 6–10
Académico Viseu away5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 9–5

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Nacional are 15th with 7 points after 10 matches (2W 1D 7L), whereas Académico Viseu are 6th with 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Nacional have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Académico Viseu average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Nacional: 2W 1D 7L, goals 10–19; Académico Viseu: 6W 2D 2L, goals 15–12.
  4. Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Nacional have 3 wins, Académico Viseu have 1 win and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 16–11.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 9; Nacional 3 wins, 5 draws, Académico Viseu 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Nacional 10–19, Académico Viseu 15–12.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
  5. Absent: Nacional 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Nacional are missing: no absences. Académico Viseu are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: team stats compared

NacionalAcadémico Viseu
17%Form83%
29%Attack71%
27%Defence73%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
33.3%Overall66.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

NacionalLWLLL
Académico ViseuWWWWW

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: head to head

All matches
3Nacional
5Draws
1Académico Viseu
9/3/24 · Nacional 1–1 Académico Viseu
29/10/23 · Académico Viseu 1–1 Nacional
28/5/23 · Nacional 3–2 Académico Viseu
21/1/23 · Académico Viseu 1–1 Nacional
7/5/22 · Nacional 1–2 Académico Viseu
29/12/21 · Académico Viseu 1–4 Nacional

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Nacional vs Académico Viseu?

Our result tip is Draw or Académico Viseu (X2) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Draw or Académico Viseu (X2).

Who will win Nacional vs Académico Viseu?

Our probabilities: Nacional to win 32%, a draw 28%, Académico Viseu to win 39%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.

Who will be missing?

Nacional: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.97); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (8.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Famalicão vs Arouca 6 NovAlverca vs Casa Pia 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 NovEstoril vs Marítimo 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.