Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Santa Clara v Benfica is on 26 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada); C. Pereira takes charge. We think Benfica (70%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 9.50 | 5.40 | 1.42 |
| Market average | 8.00 | 5.05 | 1.35 |
| Lowest odds | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.54 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.87 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.85 | 50.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Santa Clara 4th (21 points), Benfica 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Santa Clara 5W 3D 0L (12:4), Benfica 6W 1D 1L (24:7).
- H2H: 16 matches: Santa Clara 1W 2D 13L, goals 13–40.
- Absences: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Santa Clara vs Benfica: who is missing
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Santa Clara
Home and away
Santa Clara vs Benfica: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L), whereas Benfica are 2nd with 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Santa Clara have scored 1.5 and conceded 0.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Benfica average 3.0 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Santa Clara: 5W 3D 0L, goals 12–4; Benfica: 6W 1D 1L, goals 24–7.
- Head to head. In their 16 meetings so far, Santa Clara have 1 win, Benfica have 13 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–40.
What to expect
Benfica should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 16; Santa Clara 1 win, 2 draws, Benfica 13 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Santa Clara 12–4, Benfica 24–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Santa Clara are missing: no absences. Benfica are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Santa ClaraWLWDWBenficaWWWLWSanta Clara vs Benfica: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Santa Clara vs Benfica: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our result tip is Benfica to win (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Benfica (X2).
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our probabilities: Santa Clara to win 12%, a draw 19%, Benfica to win 70%.
What time and where is kick-off?
26 October 2026, kick-off at 18:45, at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada. Referee: C. Pereira.
Who will be missing?
Santa Clara: no absences. Benfica: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (12.0%); after that come 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–2 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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