Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Marítimo meet Santa Clara on 1 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal), refereed by Carlos Macedo. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.35 | 3.18 | 2.48 |
| Market average | 3.18 | 3.03 | 2.35 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.46 | 64.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.43 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.54 | 61.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.13 | 4.68 | 20.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.82 | 1.73 | 53.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Marítimo 0–1 Santa Clara, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Marítimo 14th (8 points), Santa Clara 4th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Marítimo 2W 2D 5L (9:19), Santa Clara 5W 3D 1L (13:6).
- H2H: 13 matches: Marítimo 6W 3D 4L, goals 18–14.
- Absences: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.
Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: who is missing
Marítimo
- No reported absences
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Marítimo
Home and away
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Marítimo are 14th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Marítimo have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Santa Clara average 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Marítimo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 9–19; Santa Clara: 5W 3D 1L, goals 13–6.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Marítimo have 6 wins, Santa Clara have 4 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–14.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Marítimo 6 wins, 3 draws, Santa Clara 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Marítimo 9–19, Santa Clara 13–6.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 39%.
- Absent: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Marítimo are missing: no absences. Santa Clara are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MarítimoLLLDLSanta ClaraWLWDWMarítimo vs Santa Clara: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Our result tip is Draw or Santa Clara (X2) (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Draw or Santa Clara (X2).
Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Our probabilities: Marítimo to win 29%, a draw 31%, Santa Clara to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal. Referee: Carlos Macedo.
Who will be missing?
Marítimo: no absences. Santa Clara: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 39% (odds 2.57); under 2.5 goals is at 61% (odds 1.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.05).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.3%); after that come 1–1 (13.3%) and 1–0 (11.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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