Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at GSP Stadium (Nicosia); Jasper Vergoote takes charge. We think Benfica (73%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 9.50 | 6.07 | 1.33 |
| Market average | 9.02 | 5.72 | 1.30 |
| Lowest odds | 7.91 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.22 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Omonia Nicosia 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Omonia Nicosia 11th (6 points), Benfica 1st (9 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Omonia Nicosia 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: who is missing
Omonia Nicosia
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Omonia Nicosia
Home and away
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Omonia Nicosia are 11th with 6 points after 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), whereas Benfica are 1st with 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Omonia Nicosia have 0 wins, Benfica have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–4.
What to expect
Benfica should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Omonia Nicosia 0 wins, 0 draws, Benfica 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 5.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.69). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Omonia Nicosia are missing: no absences. Benfica are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our result tip is Benfica to win (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Draw or Benfica (X2).
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our probabilities: Omonia Nicosia to win 11%, a draw 17%, Benfica to win 73%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Referee: Jasper Vergoote.
Who will be missing?
Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Benfica: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (11.1%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–3 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.