Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Parma are at home to Udinese on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Ennio Tardini (Parma), with Davide Massa as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Parma vs Udinese: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Parma are 15th with 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), whereas Udinese are 19th with 5 points (1W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Parma have scored 0.6 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Udinese average 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Parma: 1W 1D 6L, goals 5–15; Udinese: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–18.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Parma have 9 wins, Udinese have 8 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 30–31.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Parma 9 wins, 4 draws, Udinese 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Parma 5–15, Udinese 9–18.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Parma 2, Udinese 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Parma are missing: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Udinese are without: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Parma vs Udinese: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.87 | 3.27 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.75 | 3.11 | 2.72 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 2.99 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.33 | 70.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.08 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.65 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 16:28. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Parma 1–1 Udinese, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), Udinese 19th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Parma 1W 1D 6L (5:15), Udinese 1W 1D 6L (9:18).
- H2H: 21 matches: Parma 9W 4D 8L, goals 30–31.
- Absences: Parma 2, Udinese 5.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Parma vs Udinese: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Parma vs Udinese: who is missing
Parma
- N. Elphegeillness · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Parma vs Udinese: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Parma
Home and away
Parma vs Udinese: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ParmaWDLLLUdineseLDLLLParma vs Udinese: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Parma vs Udinese: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Parma vs Udinese?
Parma +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.54); Under 2.5 goals (1.80).
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
Our probabilities: Parma to win 35%, a draw 31%, Udinese to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Ennio Tardini, Parma. Referee: Davide Massa.
Who will be missing?
Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.19); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.