Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Estac Troyes meet Lens on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), refereed by H. Ben El Hadj Salem. Lens (52%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Estac Troyes vs Lens: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.26 | 3.94 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.10 | 3.84 | 1.84 |
| Lowest odds | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 43.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.69 | 2.60 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Lens, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Lens 9th (13 points).
- Absences: Estac Troyes 0, Lens 0.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Estac Troyes vs Lens: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Estac Troyes vs Lens: who is missing
Estac Troyes
- No reported absences
Lens
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Lens: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Estac Troyes vs Lens: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Estac Troyes are 16th with 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), whereas Lens are 9th with 13 points (4W 1D 4L).
What to expect
Lens should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Estac Troyes 0, Lens 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Estac Troyes are missing: no absences. Lens are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Estac Troyes vs Lens: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Estac Troyes vs Lens?
Our result tip is Lens to win (odds 1.90), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Draw or Lens (X2).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?
Our probabilities: Estac Troyes to win 23%, a draw 25%, Lens to win 52%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: H. Ben El Hadj Salem.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: no absences. Lens: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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