Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Havre are at home to Paris Saint Germain on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stade Océane (Le Havre), with François Letexier as the referee. Our favourites are Paris Saint Germain (73%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 10.15 | 6.65 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 8.62 | 5.88 | 1.31 |
| Lowest odds | 7.43 | 5.42 | 1.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.04 | 46.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Havre 0W 2D 6L (8:15), Paris Saint Germain 5W 2D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Le Havre 0W 1D 8L, goals 6–31.
- Absences: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: who is missing
Le Havre
- E. Jelertthigh injury · will miss the match
- F. MambimbiAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- L. Mpasi-NzauAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- T. Pembelemuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Toureknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Zagadouknee injury · will miss the match
Paris Saint Germain
- O. Dembelethigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Kvaratskheliaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Longoniinjury · will miss the match
- Marquinhosthigh injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendesmuscle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Havre
Home and away
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Le Havre are 18th with 2 points after 9 matches (0W 2D 7L), whereas Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Le Havre have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Paris Saint Germain average 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Havre: 0W 2D 6L, goals 8–15; Paris Saint Germain: 5W 2D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Le Havre have 0 wins, Paris Saint Germain have 8 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–31.
What to expect
Paris Saint Germain should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 67%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Le Havre 0 wins, 1 draw, Paris Saint Germain 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Le Havre 8–15, Paris Saint Germain 16–9.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Le Havre 6, Paris Saint Germain 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Le Havre are missing: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain are without: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Le HavreLLLLLParis Saint GermainWWWWWLe Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: head to head
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Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our result tip is Paris Saint Germain to win (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2).
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our probabilities: Le Havre to win 11%, a draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain to win 73%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: François Letexier.
Who will be missing?
Le Havre: E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure, S. Zagadou. Paris Saint Germain: O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos, N. Mendes. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.45); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.3%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–3 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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