Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Crawley Town are at home to Tranmere on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley), with L. Sandoe as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L), whereas Tranmere are 11th with 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Crawley Town have 7 wins, Tranmere have 9 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–30.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Crawley Town 7 wins, 2 draws, Tranmere 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Crawley Town 0, Tranmere 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Tranmere (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Tranmere (X2) (probability 64%, best available odds 1.52). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Crawley Town are missing: no absences. Tranmere are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Market average | 2.63 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.57 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.01 | 46.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.87 | 32.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Crawley Town 1–1 Tranmere, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Crawley Town 24th (9 points), Tranmere 11th (19 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Crawley Town 7W 2D 9L, goals 26–30.
- Absences: Crawley Town 0, Tranmere 0.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: who is missing
Crawley Town
- No reported absences
Tranmere
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Crawley Town vs Tranmere: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
Draw or Tranmere (X2) (1.52); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Crawley Town vs Tranmere?
Our probabilities: Crawley Town to win 36%, a draw 27%, Tranmere to win 37%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley. Referee: L. Sandoe.
Who will be missing?
Crawley Town: no absences. Tranmere: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.81); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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