Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Oldham meet Crawley Town on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Boundary Park (Oldham), refereed by D. Rock. Oldham (54%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Oldham vs Crawley Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Oldham are 21st with 12 points after 13 matches (3W 3D 7L), whereas Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Oldham have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Crawley Town average 1.1 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Oldham: 3W 3D 6L, goals 14–18; Crawley Town: 1W 3D 7L, goals 12–21.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Oldham have 7 wins, Crawley Town have 5 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–23.
What to expect
Oldham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Oldham 7 wins, 5 draws, Crawley Town 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Oldham 14–18, Crawley Town 12–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Oldham 0, Crawley Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Oldham are missing: no absences. Crawley Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Oldham vs Crawley Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.76 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.93 | 4.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.56 | 3.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.49 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.24 | 41.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Oldham 1–1 Crawley Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oldham 21st (12 points), Crawley Town 24th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Oldham 3W 3D 6L (14:18), Crawley Town 1W 3D 7L (12:21).
- H2H: 17 matches: Oldham 7W 5D 5L, goals 27–23.
- Absences: Oldham 0, Crawley Town 0.
Who will win Oldham vs Crawley Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Oldham vs Crawley Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Oldham vs Crawley Town: who is missing
Oldham
- No reported absences
Crawley Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Oldham vs Crawley Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Oldham
Home and away
Oldham vs Crawley Town: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Oldham vs Crawley Town: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Oldham vs Crawley Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Oldham vs Crawley Town?
Crawley Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Oldham vs Crawley Town?
Our probabilities: Oldham to win 54%, a draw 24%, Crawley Town to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Boundary Park, Oldham. Referee: D. Rock.
Who will be missing?
Oldham: no absences. Crawley Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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