Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chesterfield v Colchester is on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield); P. Howard takes charge. We think Chesterfield (60%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.62 | 4.43 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.55 | 4.16 | 5.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 3.77 | 4.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chesterfield 2–1 Colchester, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chesterfield vs Colchester: who is missing
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Colchester
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Chesterfield
Home and away
Chesterfield vs Colchester: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Colchester are 23rd with 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
What to expect
Chesterfield should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Chesterfield are missing: no absences. Colchester are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Chesterfield vs Colchester: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our result tip is Chesterfield to win (odds 1.62), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Chesterfield or draw (1X).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our probabilities: Chesterfield to win 60%, a draw 22%, Colchester to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: P. Howard.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Colchester: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (10.0%); after that come 2–0 (10.0%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.