Bet with MINO CASINO →Nice v Paris Saint Germain is on 21 November 2026 · 16:15 at Allianz Riviera (Nice). We think Paris Saint Germain (66%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Nice are 8th with 14 points after 9 matches (4W 2D 3L), whereas Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
What to expect
Paris Saint Germain should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Absent: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Nice are missing: no absences. Paris Saint Germain are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.62 | 5.44 | 1.47 |
| Market average | 6.38 | 5.00 | 1.43 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.36 | 69.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.11 | 30.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.94 | 49.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Nice 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Absences: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: who is missing
Nice
- No reported absences
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
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Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Under 3.5 goals (1.96); Paris Saint Germain to win (1.47).
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our probabilities: Nice to win 15%, a draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain to win 66%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Allianz Riviera, Nice.
Who will be missing?
Nice: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.38); under 2.5 goals is at 30% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.4%); after that come 0–2 (8.2%) and 1–3 (7.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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