Bet with MINO CASINO →NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven is on 21 November 2026 · 15:30 at Goffertstadion (Nijmegen). We think PSV Eindhoven (62%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 13th with 11 points after 11 matches (2W 5D 4L), whereas PSV Eindhoven are 3rd with 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
PSV Eindhoven should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Absent: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best available odds 2.10). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
NEC Nijmegen are missing: no absences. PSV Eindhoven are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.26 | 4.96 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.03 | 4.77 | 1.52 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 4.50 | 1.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.75 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.89 | 2.84 | 32.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 13th (11 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: who is missing
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: questions and answers
What is the best tip for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 3.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our probabilities: NEC Nijmegen to win 19%, a draw 20%, PSV Eindhoven to win 62%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.31); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.40).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.2%); after that come 1–3 (7.5%) and 1–1 (7.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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