Bet with MINO CASINO →Willem II are at home to PEC Zwolle on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Willem II are 18th with 2 points after 11 matches (0W 2D 9L), whereas PEC Zwolle are 14th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Willem II have scored 0.9 and conceded 3.5 goals per game on average in this competition; PEC Zwolle average 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Willem II: 0W 2D 9L, goals 10–39; PEC Zwolle: 3W 2D 6L, goals 12–23.
- Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Willem II have 7 wins, PEC Zwolle have 11 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–28.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 22; Willem II 7 wins, 4 draws, PEC Zwolle 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Willem II 10–39, PEC Zwolle 12–23.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Willem II 0, PEC Zwolle 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Willem II are missing: no absences. PEC Zwolle are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.80 | 3.89 | 2.43 |
| Market average | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.34 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.32 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 61.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.29 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Willem II 1–1 PEC Zwolle, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Willem II 18th (2 points), PEC Zwolle 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Willem II 0W 2D 9L (10:39), PEC Zwolle 3W 2D 6L (12:23).
- H2H: 22 matches: Willem II 7W 4D 11L, goals 22–28.
- Absences: Willem II 0, PEC Zwolle 0.
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: who is missing
Willem II
- No reported absences
PEC Zwolle
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Willem II
Home and away
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Willem IILLLLLPEC ZwolleWDWLLWillem II vs PEC Zwolle: head to head
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Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our result tip is Draw or PEC Zwolle (X2) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or PEC Zwolle (X2).
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our probabilities: Willem II to win 34%, a draw 26%, PEC Zwolle to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg.
Who will be missing?
Willem II: no absences. PEC Zwolle: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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