Bet with MINO CASINO →ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam is on 7 November 2026 · 17:45 at WerkTalent Stadion (Den Haag). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.52 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Market average | 2.41 | 3.57 | 2.68 |
| Lowest odds | 2.26 | 3.28 | 2.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.37 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.41 | 2.35 | 39.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.57 | 2.53 | 36.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: ADO Den Haag 1W 3D 7L (13:24), Sparta Rotterdam 3W 3D 5L (20:26).
- H2H: 16 matches: ADO Den Haag 4W 4D 8L, goals 14–27.
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: who is missing
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L), whereas Sparta Rotterdam are 11th with 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. ADO Den Haag have scored 1.2 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Sparta Rotterdam average 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ADO Den Haag: 1W 3D 7L, goals 13–24; Sparta Rotterdam: 3W 3D 5L, goals 20–26.
- Head to head. In their 16 meetings so far, ADO Den Haag have 4 wins, Sparta Rotterdam have 8 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–27.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Sparta Rotterdam are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 16; ADO Den Haag 4 wins, 4 draws, Sparta Rotterdam 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: ADO Den Haag 13–24, Sparta Rotterdam 20–26.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: ADO Den Haag 0, Sparta Rotterdam 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ADO Den Haag are missing: no absences. Sparta Rotterdam are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ADO Den HaagLLWDDSparta RotterdamWLWDLADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: head to head
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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our result tip is ADO Den Haag or draw (1X) (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is ADO Den Haag or draw (1X).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our probabilities: ADO Den Haag to win 39%, a draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: no absences. Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.