Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag are at home to PSV Eindhoven on 17 October 2026 · 15:30 at Bingoal Stadion (The Hague), with Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands as the referee. Our favourites are PSV Eindhoven (74%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 10.00 | 6.76 | 1.28 |
| Market average | 8.78 | 6.35 | 1.26 |
| Lowest odds | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.79 | 3.57 | 26.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 13:34. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: ADO Den Haag 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: who is missing
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
ADO Den Haag
Home and away
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points after 11 matches (1W 3D 7L), whereas PSV Eindhoven are 3rd with 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
PSV Eindhoven should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 1–2 (8.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.28, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Absent: ADO Den Haag 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
ADO Den Haag are missing: no absences. PSV Eindhoven are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: questions and answers
What is the best tip for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our result tip is PSV Eindhoven to win (odds 1.28), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Draw or PSV Eindhoven (X2).
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our probabilities: ADO Den Haag to win 11%, a draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven to win 74%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Bingoal Stadion, The Hague. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands.
Who will be missing?
ADO Den Haag: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 74% (odds 1.28); under 2.5 goals is at 26% (odds 3.79).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (8.6%); after that come 0–2 (8.2%) and 1–3 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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