Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven are at home to Feyenoord on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven), with Serdar Gözübüyük as the referee. Our favourites are PSV Eindhoven (47%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 3rd with 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), whereas Feyenoord are 1st with 25 points (7W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. PSV Eindhoven have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Feyenoord average 3.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 1D 2L, goals 27–12; Feyenoord: 7W 2D 0L, goals 31–10.
- Head to head. In their 40 meetings so far, PSV Eindhoven have 17 wins, Feyenoord have 14 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 73–61.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 40; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 9 draws, Feyenoord 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: PSV Eindhoven 27–12, Feyenoord 31–10.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Absent: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 47%, best available odds 2.09). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
PSV Eindhoven are missing: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Feyenoord are without: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.12 | 4.33 | 3.23 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 4.07 | 3.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.42 | 27.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.2% |
| BTTS – no | 3.60 | 3.34 | 27.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Feyenoord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Feyenoord 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 1D 2L (27:12), Feyenoord 7W 2D 0L (31:10).
- H2H: 40 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 9D 14L, goals 73–61.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: who is missing
PSV Eindhoven
- S. Mijnansred card · will miss the match
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
- K. Sildilliaabsence · doubtful
- R. van Bommelnot in the squad · doubtful
Feyenoord
- T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
- J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
- S. van Persieknock · will miss the match
- J. Moderknee injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PSV EindhovenWDLWLFeyenoordDDWWWPSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: head to head
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PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: questions and answers
What is the best tip for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
Our result tip is PSV Eindhoven to win (odds 2.12), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.81). The safer pick is PSV Eindhoven or draw (1X).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
Our probabilities: PSV Eindhoven to win 47%, a draw 23%, Feyenoord to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.32); under 2.5 goals is at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 72% probability (odds 1.31).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.6%); after that come 1–1 (8.4%) and 2–2 (7.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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