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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Dinamo Zagreb1.55
XDraw4.70
2NEC Nijmegen5.90

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb are at home to NEC Nijmegen on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb), with Manfredas Lukjančukas as the referee. Our favourites are Dinamo Zagreb (62%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: tip and prediction
Result
Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.55
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.59
Combo
Dinamo Zagreb plus over 2.5 goals
2.32
43% · combo fair price
62%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X) – 83% probability, top odds 1.17.

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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.554.705.90
Market average1.534.445.56
Lowest odds1.503.764.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1581.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.591.5361.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.622.4538.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.3240.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.4%
BTTS – no2.252.1942.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 NEC Nijmegen, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Dinamo Zagreb 18th (4 points), NEC Nijmegen 20th (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Dinamo Zagreb 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

Dinamo Zagreb62%
Draw21%
NEC Nijmegen17%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: more markets and betting tips

Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X)83.0% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.5% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.19
Likely
Dinamo Zagreb to win61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.59
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: yes57.4% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: no42.6% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.47
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw21.3% · fair odds 4.70 · best 4.70
Outsider
NEC Nijmegen to win17.0% · fair odds 5.87 · best 5.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.80 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.0%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
2 : 09.4%
1 : 09.0%
3 : 16.9%
3 : 06.6%

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: who is missing

Dinamo Zagreb

  • No reported absences

NEC Nijmegen

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Dinamo Zagreb

22 OctLDinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
15 OctWDinamo Zagreb 1–0 Anderlecht
16 SeptDHapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Dinamo Zagreb

NEC Nijmegen

31 OctLHeerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
25 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
22 OctWDinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
18 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
15 OctDNEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia

Home and away

Dinamo Zagreb at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–4
NEC Nijmegen away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–7

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Dinamo Zagreb are 18th with 4 points after 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), whereas NEC Nijmegen are 20th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Dinamo Zagreb have 0 wins, NEC Nijmegen have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–4.

What to expect

Dinamo Zagreb should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.59), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Dinamo Zagreb 0 wins, 0 draws, NEC Nijmegen 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  4. Absent: Dinamo Zagreb 0, NEC Nijmegen 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Dinamo Zagreb are missing: no absences. NEC Nijmegen are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: head to head

All matches
0Dinamo Zagreb
0Draws
1NEC Nijmegen
22/10/26 · Dinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our result tip is Dinamo Zagreb to win (odds 1.55), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.59). The safer pick is Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X).

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb to win 62%, a draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen to win 17%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. Referee: Manfredas Lukjančukas.

Who will be missing?

Dinamo Zagreb: no absences. NEC Nijmegen: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.59); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.62).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.4%) and 2–0 (9.4%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.