Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AS Roma meet Cagliari on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), refereed by Ermanno Feliciani. AS Roma (73%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AS Roma are 3rd with 24 points after 10 matches (7W 3D 0L), whereas Cagliari are 12th with 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. AS Roma have scored 2.4 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Cagliari average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AS Roma: 5W 3D 0L, goals 19–6; Cagliari: 4W 1D 3L, goals 6–9.
- Head to head. In their 29 meetings so far, AS Roma have 18 wins, Cagliari have 6 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 57–35.
What to expect
AS Roma should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (14.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 67%. We estimate both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 29; AS Roma 18 wins, 5 draws, Cagliari 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AS Roma 19–6, Cagliari 6–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: AS Roma 5, Cagliari 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AS Roma are missing: M. Bah, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, M. Svilar, P. Dybala. Cagliari are without: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, H. Winks. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.33 | 5.51 | 12.10 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.27 | 10.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.94 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.75 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.10 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.86 | 32.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 2.21 | 42.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: AS Roma 5W 3D 0L (19:6), Cagliari 4W 1D 3L (6:9).
- H2H: 29 matches: AS Roma 18W 5D 6L, goals 57–35.
- Absences: AS Roma 5, Cagliari 3.
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AS Roma vs Cagliari: who is missing
AS Roma
- M. Bahknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Konemuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Pellegrinithigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Svilarabsence · will miss the match
- P. Dybalacalf injury · doubtful
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Winksback injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AS Roma vs Cagliari: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AS Roma
Home and away
AS Roma vs Cagliari: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AS RomaWWDWDCagliariLLLLDAS Roma vs Cagliari: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
AS Roma vs Cagliari: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Our result tip is AS Roma to win (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is AS Roma or draw (1X).
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
Our probabilities: AS Roma to win 73%, a draw 18%, Cagliari to win 9%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Ermanno Feliciani.
Who will be missing?
AS Roma: M. Bah, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, M. Svilar, P. Dybala. Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, H. Winks. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.82); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 42% probability (odds 2.25).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (14.0%); after that come 1–0 (12.7%) and 3–0 (10.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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