Monaco v FC Nordsjælland is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Monaco). We think Monaco (65%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.47 | 5.20 | 6.54 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.77 | 6.06 |
| Lowest odds | 1.37 | 4.31 | 5.32 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.12 | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 34.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.09 | 45.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.28 | 40.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monaco 2–1 FC Nordsjælland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 6th (6 points), FC Nordsjælland 19th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: Monaco 4W 0D 0L (12:4), FC Nordsjælland 5W 2D 1L (20:6).
- Absences: Monaco 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: who is missing
Monaco
- No reported absences
FC Nordsjælland
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 | |
| 17 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 | |
| 22 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 | |
| 25 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 27 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 | |
| 28 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 29 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 | |
| 30 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 | |
| 32 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 33 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Monaco
Home and away
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Monaco are 6th with 6 points after 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), whereas FC Nordsjælland are 19th with 2 points (0W 2D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Monaco have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Nordsjælland average 2.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Monaco: 4W 0D 0L, goals 12–4; FC Nordsjælland: 5W 2D 1L, goals 20–6.
What to expect
Monaco should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Monaco 12–4, FC Nordsjælland 20–6.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: Monaco 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Monaco are missing: no absences. FC Nordsjælland are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?
Our result tip is Monaco to win (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Monaco or draw (1X).
Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?
Our probabilities: Monaco to win 65%, a draw 20%, FC Nordsjælland to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. FC Nordsjælland: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 2–0 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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