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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Monaco1.47
XDraw5.20
2FC Nordsjælland6.54

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:30

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Monaco v FC Nordsjælland is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Monaco). We think Monaco (65%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: tip and prediction
Result
Monaco to win
1.47
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Monaco plus over 2.5 goals
2.08
48% · combo fair price
65%chance of the result
65%chance for the goals tip
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Monaco or draw (1X) – 85% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.475.206.54
Market average1.434.776.06
Lowest odds1.374.315.32
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1283.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.471.4365.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.882.6934.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.162.0945.1%
BTTS – yes1.601.5759.1%
BTTS – no2.382.2840.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Monaco 2–1 FC Nordsjælland, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Monaco 6th (6 points), FC Nordsjælland 19th (2 points).
  • Form in the competition: Monaco 4W 0D 0L (12:4), FC Nordsjælland 5W 2D 1L (20:6).
  • Absences: Monaco 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.

Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

Monaco65%
Draw20%
FC Nordsjælland15%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: more markets and betting tips

Monaco or draw (1X)84.6% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals83.6% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Monaco to win65.1% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.47
Likely
Both sides to score: yes59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.60
Possible
Under 3.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.16
Outsider
Both sides to score: no40.9% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.8% · fair odds 2.88 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw19.5% · fair odds 5.12 · best 5.20
Outsider
FC Nordsjælland to win15.4% · fair odds 6.50 · best 6.54
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.1%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.7%
2 : 09.3%
1 : 18.5%
1 : 08.1%
3 : 17.5%
3 : 07.1%

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: who is missing

Monaco

  • No reported absences

FC Nordsjælland

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Monaco

1 NovLParis FC 3–1 Monaco
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
22 OctWMonaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
18 OctLLorient 1–0 Monaco
15 OctWCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

FC Nordsjælland

1 NovLFC Nordsjælland 2–3 FC Midtjylland
25 OctDSilkeborg 1–1 FC Nordsjælland
22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
18 OctDLyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjælland
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Home and away

Monaco at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0
FC Nordsjælland away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Monaco are 6th with 6 points after 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), whereas FC Nordsjælland are 19th with 2 points (0W 2D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Monaco have scored 3.0 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Nordsjælland average 2.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Monaco: 4W 0D 0L, goals 12–4; FC Nordsjælland: 5W 2D 1L, goals 20–6.

What to expect

Monaco should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Monaco 12–4, FC Nordsjælland 20–6.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
  3. Absent: Monaco 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Monaco are missing: no absences. FC Nordsjælland are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: team stats compared

MonacoFC Nordsjælland
52%Form48%
50%Attack50%
56%Defence44%
59.0%Overall41.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

MonacoWW
FC NordsjællandDD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.4%

Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

Our result tip is Monaco to win (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Monaco or draw (1X).

Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?

Our probabilities: Monaco to win 65%, a draw 20%, FC Nordsjælland to win 15%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stade Louis II, Monaco.

Who will be missing?

Monaco: no absences. FC Nordsjælland: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.88).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 2–0 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.