Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland are at home to FC Midtjylland on 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Right to Dream Park (Farum), with Lasse Kirk Graagaard as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.35 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.69 | 2.78 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 1–1 FC Midtjylland, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Nordsjælland 5th (20 points), FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Nordsjælland 5W 5D 2L (18:14), FC Midtjylland 8W 4D 0L (24:13).
- H2H: 56 matches: FC Nordsjælland 17W 13D 26L, goals 76–108.
- Absences: FC Nordsjælland 3, FC Midtjylland 7.
Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: who is missing
FC Nordsjælland
- S. Alioknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Mohammedknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Nelssoninjury · doubtful
FC Midtjylland
- D. Castillonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Erlicfoot injury · will miss the match
- M. Gogorzahip injury · will miss the match
- M. Jensenfoot injury · will miss the match
- Junior Brumadoknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Olafssonillness · will miss the match
- P. Billinginjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Nordsjælland
Home and away
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Nordsjælland are 5th with 20 points after 13 matches (5W 5D 3L), whereas FC Midtjylland are 1st with 31 points (9W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. FC Nordsjælland have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Midtjylland average 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Nordsjælland: 5W 5D 2L, goals 18–14; FC Midtjylland: 8W 4D 0L, goals 24–13.
- Head to head. In their 56 meetings so far, FC Nordsjælland have 17 wins, FC Midtjylland have 26 wins and 13 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 76–108.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the FC Midtjylland are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.54), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 56; FC Nordsjælland 17 wins, 13 draws, FC Midtjylland 26 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Nordsjælland 18–14, FC Midtjylland 24–13.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: FC Nordsjælland 3, FC Midtjylland 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Nordsjælland are missing: S. Alio, A. Mohammed, V. Nelsson. FC Midtjylland are without: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson, P. Billing. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC NordsjællandLDDDLFC MidtjyllandWWWWDFC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
Our result tip is FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X) (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.54). The safer pick is FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
Our probabilities: FC Nordsjælland to win 41%, a draw 25%, FC Midtjylland to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: Lasse Kirk Graagaard.
Who will be missing?
FC Nordsjælland: S. Alio, A. Mohammed, V. Nelsson. FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson, P. Billing. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.54); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.