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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FC Nordsjælland1.43
XDraw5.20
2CSKA Sofia8.00

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland are at home to CSKA Sofia on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Right to Dream Park (Farum), with R. Jones as the referee. Our favourites are FC Nordsjælland (68%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: tip and prediction
Result
FC Nordsjælland to win
1.43
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Combo
FC Nordsjælland plus over 2.5 goals
2.06
48% · combo fair price
68%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X) – 87% probability, top odds 1.11.

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FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.435.208.00
Market average1.394.867.14
Lowest odds1.334.396.18
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5062.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4937.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2641.6%
BTTS – yes1.731.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 16:28. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Nordsjælland 19th (2 points), CSKA Sofia 23rd (1 point).
  • Absences: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland68%
Draw19%
CSKA Sofia13%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: more markets and betting tips

FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X)86.8% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.3% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
FC Nordsjælland to win67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.43
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
Both sides to score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Both sides to score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.34
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.20
Outsider
CSKA Sofia to win13.2% · fair odds 7.59 · best 8.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: who is missing

FC Nordsjælland

  • No reported absences

CSKA Sofia

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

FC Nordsjælland

1 NovLFC Nordsjælland 2–3 FC Midtjylland
25 OctDSilkeborg 1–1 FC Nordsjælland
22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
18 OctDLyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjælland
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

CSKA Sofia

22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
15 OctLCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Home and away

FC Nordsjælland at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2
CSKA Sofia away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, FC Nordsjælland are 19th with 2 points after 2 matches (0W 2D 0L), whereas CSKA Sofia are 23rd with 1 point (0W 1D 1L).

What to expect

FC Nordsjælland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  2. Absent: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

FC Nordsjælland are missing: no absences. CSKA Sofia are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: questions and answers

What is the best tip for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our result tip is FC Nordsjælland to win (odds 1.43), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X).

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our probabilities: FC Nordsjælland to win 68%, a draw 19%, CSKA Sofia to win 13%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: R. Jones.

Who will be missing?

FC Nordsjælland: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.