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La Liga · Matchweek 10 · 25 October 2026 · 17:30

Real Sociedad vs Levante: tip, odds and prediction – 25 October 2026, La Liga

2–1
LLWDD
1Real Sociedad1.62
XDraw4.80
2Levante5.50

Best available odds · Updated 25/10/26, 17:01

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Real Sociedad meet Levante on 25 October 2026 · 17:30 at Anoeta Stadium (San Sebastián), refereed by Javier Alberola Rojas. Real Sociedad (61%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: tip and prediction
Result
Real Sociedad to win
1.62
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Real Sociedad plus over 2.5 goals
2.22
45% · combo fair price
61%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Real Sociedad or draw (1X) – 82% probability, top odds 1.19.

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Real Sociedad vs Levante: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Real Sociedad are 5th with 19 points after 11 matches (6W 1D 4L), whereas Levante are 18th with 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Real Sociedad have scored 1.9 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Levante average 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Real Sociedad: 5W 1D 3L, goals 17–17; Levante: 2W 4D 3L, goals 15–17.
  4. Head to head. In their 25 meetings so far, Real Sociedad have 8 wins, Levante have 8 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 34–28.

What to expect

Real Sociedad should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 25; Real Sociedad 8 wins, 9 draws, Levante 8 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Real Sociedad 17–17, Levante 15–17.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
  5. Absent: Real Sociedad 2, Levante 2.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Real Sociedad are missing: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola. Levante are without: E. Bardeli, Dela. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.624.805.50
Market average1.564.635.24
Lowest odds1.504.334.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.151.1184.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.471.4365.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.852.7234.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.232.1344.7%
BTTS – yes1.551.5161.5%
BTTS – no2.502.4238.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 17:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Real Sociedad 5th (19 points), Levante 18th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Real Sociedad 5W 1D 3L (17:17), Levante 2W 4D 3L (15:17).
  • H2H: 25 matches: Real Sociedad 8W 9D 8L, goals 34–28.
  • Absences: Real Sociedad 2, Levante 2.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Real Sociedad61%
Draw21%
Levante18%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.0% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.15
Likely
Real Sociedad or draw (1X)81.8% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.5% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Both sides to score: yes61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.55
Likely
Real Sociedad to win61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.62
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.3% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.77
Possible
Over 3.5 goals44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.23
Outsider
Both sides to score: no38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.5% · fair odds 2.90 · best 2.85
Outsider
Draw20.6% · fair odds 4.85 · best 4.80
Outsider
Levante to win18.2% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.64 · Under 2.19
probability of over 57.2%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.8%
1 : 18.9%
2 : 08.5%
1 : 07.7%
3 : 17.2%
3 : 06.2%

Real Sociedad vs Levante: who is missing

Real Sociedad

  • L. Beitiaankle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Odriozolaknee injury · will miss the match

Levante

  • E. Bardelimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • Delaabsence · will miss the match

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Real Sociedad vs Levante: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Real Sociedad

1 NovLAthletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
25 OctWReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
22 OctWLillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
18 OctWMálaga 2–5 Real Sociedad
15 OctDUnion St. Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad

Levante

31 OctLLevante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
25 OctLReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
21 OctWLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
16 OctDDeportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla

Home and away

Real Sociedad at home5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 7–7
Levante away6 matches: 0W 3D 3L, goals 3–9

Real Sociedad vs Levante: team stats compared

Real SociedadLevante
71%Form29%
58%Attack42%
52%Defence48%
71%Head to head29%
67%Goals33%
64.8%Overall35.2%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Real SociedadLWWWW
LevanteLLWDD

Real Sociedad vs Levante: head to head

All matches
8Real Sociedad
9Draws
8Levante
25/10/26 · Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
4/4/26 · Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante
20/12/25 · Levante 1–1 Real Sociedad
6/5/22 · Levante 2–1 Real Sociedad
28/8/21 · Real Sociedad 1–0 Levante
7/3/21 · Real Sociedad 1–0 Levante

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Real Sociedad vs Levante: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Our result tip is Real Sociedad to win (odds 1.62), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Real Sociedad or draw (1X).

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Our probabilities: Real Sociedad to win 61%, a draw 21%, Levante to win 18%.

What time and where is kick-off?

25 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián. Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas.

Who will be missing?

Real Sociedad: L. Beitia, A. Odriozola. Levante: E. Bardeli, Dela. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.85).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.55).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 1–1 (8.9%) and 2–0 (8.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.