Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Levante are at home to Atlético Madrid on 31 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia), with Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea as the referee. Our favourites are Atlético Madrid (62%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Levante are 18th with 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), whereas Atlético Madrid are 2nd with 28 points (9W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Levante have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Atlético Madrid average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Levante: 2W 4D 4L, goals 16–19; Atlético Madrid: 8W 1D 1L, goals 20–8.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, Levante have 6 wins, Atlético Madrid have 14 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–44.
What to expect
Atlético Madrid should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; Levante 6 wins, 6 draws, Atlético Madrid 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Levante 16–19, Atlético Madrid 20–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Levante 1, Atlético Madrid 2.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Levante are missing: E. Bardeli. Atlético Madrid are without: J. Cardoso, Koke. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.75 | 5.06 | 1.60 |
| Market average | 5.46 | 4.67 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 4.84 | 4.03 | 1.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.31 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.22 | 42.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 22:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Levante 1–2 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Levante 2W 4D 4L (16:19), Atlético Madrid 8W 1D 1L (20:8).
- H2H: 26 matches: Levante 6W 6D 14L, goals 27–44.
- Absences: Levante 1, Atlético Madrid 2.
Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: who is missing
Levante
- E. Bardelimuscle injury · will miss the match
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- Kokemuscle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Levante
Home and away
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LevanteLLWDDAtlético MadridWWWWWLevante vs Atlético Madrid: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
Our result tip is Atlético Madrid to win (odds 1.60), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Draw or Atlético Madrid (X2).
Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?
Our probabilities: Levante to win 17%, a draw 20%, Atlético Madrid to win 62%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea.
Who will be missing?
Levante: E. Bardeli. Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.58).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.9%); after that come 0–2 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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