Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid is on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart); Serdar Gözübüyük takes charge. We think Atlético Madrid (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.55 | 4.00 | 2.13 |
| Market average | 3.32 | 3.87 | 2.06 |
| Lowest odds | 3.08 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.44 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.69 | 34.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.13 | 45.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.78 | 33.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 6th (7 points), Atlético Madrid 16th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: VfB Stuttgart 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: who is missing
VfB Stuttgart
- No reported absences
Atlético Madrid
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, VfB Stuttgart are 6th with 7 points after 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), whereas Atlético Madrid are 16th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, VfB Stuttgart have 0 wins, Atlético Madrid have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–1.
What to expect
Atlético Madrid should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; VfB Stuttgart 0 wins, 1 draw, Atlético Madrid 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: VfB Stuttgart 0, Atlético Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.81). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
VfB Stuttgart are missing: no absences. Atlético Madrid are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: head to head
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VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid: questions and answers
What is the best tip for VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?
Our result tip is Atlético Madrid to win (odds 2.13), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Atlético Madrid (X2).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?
Our probabilities: VfB Stuttgart to win 29%, a draw 25%, Atlético Madrid to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Atlético Madrid: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.78).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 67% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–2 (9.2%) and 2–1 (7.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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