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La Liga · Matchweek 6 · 21 October 2026 · 19:00

Levante vs Athletic Club: tip, odds and prediction – 21 October 2026, La Liga

LLWDD
3–1
1Levante3.74
XDraw3.44
2Athletic Club2.25

Best available odds · Updated 21/10/26, 16:55

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Levante are at home to Athletic Club on 21 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia), with Alejandro Quintero González, Spain as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Levante vs Athletic Club: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Athletic Club (X2)
1.33
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.87
73%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Levante vs Athletic Club: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Levante are 18th with 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), whereas Athletic Club are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In their 27 meetings so far, Levante have 6 wins, Athletic Club have 17 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 34–48.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 27; Levante 6 wins, 4 draws, Athletic Club 17 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
  4. Absent: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Levante are missing: no absences. Athletic Club are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Levante vs Athletic Club: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.743.442.25
Market average3.553.242.17
Lowest odds3.383.102.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.401.3470.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.202.0945.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.871.7654.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.803.5526.4%
BTTS – yes1.851.8051.8%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 16:55. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Levante 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
  • H2H: 27 matches: Levante 6W 4D 17L, goals 34–48.
  • Absences: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.

Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?

Levante27%
Draw29%
Athletic Club44%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Levante vs Athletic Club: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals73.6% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Draw or Athletic Club (X2)73.2% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.2% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.87
Possible
Both sides to score: yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.20
Outsider
Athletic Club to win43.9% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.25
Outsider
Draw29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.44
Outsider
Levante to win26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.74
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.4% · fair odds 3.79 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.79 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.3%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.87 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.7%
0 : 112.1%
1 : 09.1%
1 : 28.9%
0 : 08.6%
0 : 28.5%

Levante vs Athletic Club: who is missing

Levante

  • No reported absences

Athletic Club

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Levante vs Athletic Club: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Villarreal113-3-515:1512
10Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
11Alavés113-3-515:1712
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Levante

31 OctLLevante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
25 OctLReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
21 OctWLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
16 OctDDeportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla

Athletic Club

1 NovWAthletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
25 OctWAthletic Club 4–0 Getafe
21 OctLLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
17 OctDValencia 0–0 Athletic Club
19 SeptDAthletic Club 0–0 Alavés

Home and away

Levante at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 13–12
Athletic Club away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–5

Levante vs Athletic Club: head to head

All matches
6Levante
4Draws
17Athletic Club
21/10/26 · Levante 3–1 Athletic Club
8/2/26 · Athletic Club 4–2 Levante
29/11/25 · Levante 0–2 Athletic Club
7/3/22 · Athletic Club 3–1 Levante
19/11/21 · Levante 0–0 Athletic Club
4/3/21 · Levante 1–2 Athletic Club

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Levante vs Athletic Club: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Levante vs Athletic Club?

Our result tip is Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87). The safer pick is Draw or Athletic Club (X2).

Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?

Our probabilities: Levante to win 27%, a draw 29%, Athletic Club to win 44%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Alejandro Quintero González, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Levante: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.20); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.87).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.85).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Sevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.