Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Levante are at home to Athletic Club on 21 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia), with Alejandro Quintero González, Spain as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Levante vs Athletic Club: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Levante are 18th with 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), whereas Athletic Club are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 27 meetings so far, Levante have 6 wins, Athletic Club have 17 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 34–48.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 27; Levante 6 wins, 4 draws, Athletic Club 17 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Levante are missing: no absences. Athletic Club are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Levante vs Athletic Club: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.74 | 3.44 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 3.55 | 3.24 | 2.17 |
| Lowest odds | 3.38 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 70.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.09 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.76 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.55 | 26.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 21/10/26, 16:55. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Levante 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Levante 18th (10 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
- H2H: 27 matches: Levante 6W 4D 17L, goals 34–48.
- Absences: Levante 0, Athletic Club 0.
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Levante vs Athletic Club: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Levante vs Athletic Club: who is missing
Levante
- No reported absences
Athletic Club
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Levante vs Athletic Club: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
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Levante vs Athletic Club: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Levante vs Athletic Club?
Our result tip is Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87). The safer pick is Draw or Athletic Club (X2).
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
Our probabilities: Levante to win 27%, a draw 29%, Athletic Club to win 44%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Referee: Alejandro Quintero González, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Levante: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.20); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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